Retail Sales Prediction Using Machine Learning - Final Year Project with Source Code
Retail Sales Prediction Using Machine Learning - Complete Project Demo Video
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Machine Learning

Retail Sales Prediction Using Machine Learning

The Retail Sales Prediction Using Machine Learning system is a comprehensive machine learning solution that predicts retail sales using the Superstore Sales Dataset. This project is ideal for B.Tech, MCA, CSE, and engineering students as their final year project. It implements XGBoost and Random Forest with feature engineering, achieving 89.23% R² accuracy and 42.15 RMSE.

The system utilizes the Superstore Sales Dataset containing 9,994 records with 21 features including product categories, customer segments, order dates, and shipping information. It provides a user-friendly web interface for data upload, exploratory data analysis, model training, and real-time sales prediction, enabling retailers to optimize inventory management, promotional planning, and revenue forecasting.

Python 3.8+ Machine Learning XGBoost Random Forest Scikit-learn Pandas NumPy Matplotlib Seaborn Flask HTML/CSS/JS
Key Features:
  • Multi-Model Sales Prediction
  • XGBoost (R²: 0.8923)
  • Random Forest (R²: 0.8756)
  • Feature Engineering (temporal features, shipping duration)
  • 5-Fold Cross-Validation
  • Interactive Visualizations
  • Real-time Sales Predictions
  • Model Performance Comparison
  • Feature Importance Analysis
  • Flask Web Application

Algorithms Used

🌲 Random Forest
Ensemble learning with n_estimators=200, max_depth=15, min_samples_split=5
🎯 R²: 0.8756
⚡ XGBoost
Gradient boosting with n_estimators=200, max_depth=6, learning_rate=0.1, regularization
🎯 R²: 0.8923
🔧 Feature Engineering
Order Year, Order Month, Order Day, Order DayOfWeek, Order Quarter, Shipping Duration
📊 Top Feature: Shipping Duration
📊 Cross-Validation
5-fold stratified CV with leak-free evaluation
📊 CV Mean: 0.8907

Methodology & Workflow

1 Data Collection
9,994 records with 21 retail features
2 Data Preprocessing
Cleaning, encoding, feature engineering, scaling
3 Exploratory Data Analysis
Statistical analysis and visualization of patterns
4 Model Training
XGBoost and Random Forest with 5-fold CV
5 Model Evaluation
R², RMSE, MAE, MSE, cross-validation metrics
6 Web Deployment
Flask web app with real-time sales prediction

Model Performance Comparison

Metric Random Forest XGBoost Best
R² Score 0.8756 0.8923 XGBoost
RMSE 45.83 42.15 XGBoost
MAE 31.24 28.67 XGBoost
MSE 2100.39 1776.62 XGBoost
CV Mean R² 0.8759 0.8907 XGBoost
CV Std Dev 0.0037 0.0052 Random Forest

Project Package Includes:

Complete Source Code Documentation (50+ pages) Video Tutorial Superstore Sales Dataset Flask Web App Model Files (Pickle) Visualizations 24/7 Expert Support
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9,999
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Complete Source Code
Documentation & PPT
Video Tutorial
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